Comments on: ADP Update: Parker Falls, Mendenhall Undervalued http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/2008/07/adp-update-parker-falls-mendenhall-undervalued/ Sat, 04 Sep 2010 15:14:14 -0400 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.1 hourly 1 By: Hal http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/2008/07/adp-update-parker-falls-mendenhall-undervalued/comment-page-1/#comment-27 Hal Mon, 21 Jul 2008 07:43:40 +0000 http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/?p=10#comment-27 As a long-time Steelers fan, here's how it's going to play out in the Steeler system: Running Back A: the named starter at the beginning of the season, usually coming off an injury the previous season where he missed several games. Running Back B: the named backup before the season begins. About 5 years ago, this combo was Jerome Bettis and Duce Staley. 2 years ago, this combo was Jerome Bettis and Willie Parker. Last year, it was Willie Parker and Najeh Davenport. Games 1-6: RB-A has some incredible games, 150 yards+ and a bunch of touchdowns. About game 6 or 8, RB-A goes down with an injury. RB-B steps in, and does great. Just when owners of RB-A decide he's not coming back and drop him, RB-A returns in week 12 or 14 and finishes the season. The reason is that Pitt has a bowling-ball type strategy of running: just bowl your RB up the middle 50 times a game and hope for a 7-10 split. Nobody can last a full season in this system. I am not surprised Parker is dropping. He just isn't built for this type of running game. However, I am surprised Mendenhall's stock is rising so fast. If I was dead set on getting a Pitt receiver, I would actually target Mewelde Moore in the 14th round. As a long-time Steelers fan, here’s how it’s going to play out in the Steeler system:

Running Back A: the named starter at the beginning of the season, usually coming off an injury the previous season where he missed several games.

Running Back B: the named backup before the season begins.

About 5 years ago, this combo was Jerome Bettis and Duce Staley. 2 years ago, this combo was Jerome Bettis and Willie Parker. Last year, it was Willie Parker and Najeh Davenport.

Games 1-6: RB-A has some incredible games, 150 yards+ and a bunch of touchdowns. About game 6 or 8, RB-A goes down with an injury. RB-B steps in, and does great. Just when owners of RB-A decide he’s not coming back and drop him, RB-A returns in week 12 or 14 and finishes the season.

The reason is that Pitt has a bowling-ball type strategy of running: just bowl your RB up the middle 50 times a game and hope for a 7-10 split. Nobody can last a full season in this system.

I am not surprised Parker is dropping. He just isn’t built for this type of running game. However, I am surprised Mendenhall’s stock is rising so fast. If I was dead set on getting a Pitt receiver, I would actually target Mewelde Moore in the 14th round.

]]> By: theendzoneview http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/2008/07/adp-update-parker-falls-mendenhall-undervalued/comment-page-1/#comment-25 theendzoneview Sun, 20 Jul 2008 20:59:32 +0000 http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/?p=10#comment-25 I'll split the difference and say Mendenhall will have a 750/6td season. FWP will be a free agent after next season so it makes sense for the Steelers to begin phasing him out. Not only does the addition of Mendenhall make Parker a poor fantasy bet, don't forget he's coming off a season ending broken leg. Fast Willie probably won't be as fast as you remember. I'd much rather have Mendenhall in the 8th than Parker 3-4 rounds earlier. I’ll split the difference and say Mendenhall will have a 750/6td season.

FWP will be a free agent after next season so it makes sense for the Steelers to begin phasing him out. Not only does the addition of Mendenhall make Parker a poor fantasy bet, don’t forget he’s coming off a season ending broken leg. Fast Willie probably won’t be as fast as you remember.

I’d much rather have Mendenhall in the 8th than Parker 3-4 rounds earlier.

]]> By: Ben Gibberd http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/2008/07/adp-update-parker-falls-mendenhall-undervalued/comment-page-1/#comment-23 Ben Gibberd Sat, 19 Jul 2008 14:36:35 +0000 http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog/?p=10#comment-23 I think your projections are optimistic for Mendenhall. A 50/50 split in the backfield for a rookie? The steelers had 9 rushing touchdowns last season (that number is likely to improve but not by that much. Pittsburgh's coaches are using the TE's as goal line weapons. Mendenhall is likely to fill in to Najeh's Davenport's role. So the stats would be similiar (say 600 yards 5 touchdowns). Mwelde Moore may even take 1-2 td's. Mendenhall is a mid-priced handcuff. Parker may be the best pick (of his round). Certainly between Jones, Turner, and McFadden he's more proven track record (his fantasy worth). He's likely to beat the other 3 backs in yardage and should have similiar TD totals. I think your projections are optimistic for Mendenhall. A 50/50 split in the backfield for a rookie? The steelers had 9 rushing touchdowns last season (that number is likely to improve but not by that much. Pittsburgh’s coaches are using the TE’s as goal line weapons.

Mendenhall is likely to fill in to Najeh’s Davenport’s role. So the stats would be similiar (say 600 yards 5 touchdowns). Mwelde Moore may even take 1-2 td’s. Mendenhall is a mid-priced handcuff.

Parker may be the best pick (of his round). Certainly between Jones, Turner, and McFadden he’s more proven track record (his fantasy worth). He’s likely to beat the other 3 backs in yardage and should have similiar TD totals.

]]>