ADP Update: Replaced Running Backs
Kevin Day, May 4th, 2009The recent NFL draft has many complex effects on fantasy football, some of which won’t be known until the season gets closer.
Some effects have been immediate, however. Both Thomas Jones and Joseph Addai have seen their ADP rankings drop since the draft on April 25-26. Here is a graph of their ADP for 12-team leagues including before and after the draft.
The addition of Shonn Greene to the Jets has sent Thomas Jones from a 3.11 ADP down to the mid 4th round where he continues to slide.
Addai’s value is plummeting as well due to the Colts drafting Donald Brown with their first round pick.
Both of these backfields bear watching because they may end up in full-blown committees by the time the season starts. Fantasy drafters are already starting to look elsewhere for their RB2.
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I much rather have the younger half of both committees at their current ADP’s rather than the vets. If Jones reports with no updated contract, I would assume his ADP would wind up being higher than Addai’s after the year he had. Figure the Jets would still try to work in Greene especially at the goal line, but they would load up the carries on TJ knowing they have no reason to save him for 2010 since he’ll be a cap casualty regardless.
theendzoneview on May 6th, 2009 at 3:12 pm