Scenario Calculator

Calculate the probability that a player will fall to you at a specific spot in the draft.

Set your league format and size.

Then specify which pick you want to simulate.

Click 'Calculate' to see the chance that each player will be available at the draft spot.

Format:
Teams:
Draft Spot:

These are the probabilities that each player will still be on the board at 2.06 in a 12 team league.

Calculations based off of today's ADP data.


Be the first to know about players who rise and fall in ADP.
Sign up for the official ADP Update Newsletter:


NamePosTeamByeProbability
Marshawn LynchRBSEA47%.
LeSean McCoyRBPHI724%.
DeMarco MurrayRBDAL1146%.
Peyton ManningQBDEN448%.
LeVeon BellRBPIT1249%.
Jamaal CharlesRBKC653%.
Arian FosterRBHOU1073%.
Demaryius ThomasWRDEN468%.
Jimmy GrahamTENO673%.
Dez BryantWRDAL1177%.
Antonio BrownWRPIT1267%.
Calvin JohnsonWRDET967%.
Julius ThomasTEDEN480%.
Andrew LuckQBIND1074%.
Giovani BernardRBCIN473%.
Julio JonesWRATL974%.
Jordy NelsonWRGB975%.
Matt ForteRBCHI966%.
Emmanuel SandersWRDEN492%.
Adrian PetersonRBMIN1073%.
Frank GoreRBSF893%.
Randall CobbWRGB977%.
Alshon JefferyWRCHI979%.
Drew BreesQBNO675%.
A.J. GreenWRCIN486%.
Alfred MorrisRBWAS1084%.
Eddie LacyRBGB979%.
Andre EllingtonRBARI478%.
Joique BellRBDET9100%.
Aaron RodgersQBGB980%.
Rashad JenningsRBNYG884%.
T.Y. HiltonWRIND1089%.
Ifeanyi MomahWRPHI780%.
Nick FolesQBPHI792%.
Jordan CameronTECLE496%.
Brandon MarshallWRCHI986%.
Brandin CooksWRNO6100%.
Julian JonesWRATL976%.
Tom BradyQBNE1093%.
Reggie BushRBDET992%.
Jeremy MaclinWRPHI792%.
Doug MartinRBTB784%.
Andre JohnsonWRHOU1087%.
Ben TateRBCLE491%.
Ray RiceRBBAL1182%.
Plaxico BurressWRPIT1285%.
Philip RiversQBSD1093%.
Steve SmithWRBAL1195%.
Kelvin BenjaminWRCAR1296%.
Pierre ThomasRBNO694%.
Matt RyanQBATL989%.
Victor CruzWRNYG891%.
Ahmad BradshawRBIND1096%.
Russell WilsonQBSEA497%.
Pierre GarconWRWAS1091%.
Sammy WatkinsWRBUF996%.
Jay CutlerQBCHI999%.
Rob GronkowskiTENE1091%.
Montee BallRBDEN485%.
Vernon DavisTESF899%.
Tony RomoQBDAL1186%.
Michael CrabtreeWRSF897%.
Colin KaepernickQBSF891%.
Vincent JacksonWRTB796%.
Roddy WhiteWRATL991%.
Mike WallaceWRMIA595%.
Fred JacksonRBBUF995%.
Cordarrelle PattersonWRMIN1087%.
Philadelphia DefenseDEFPHI792%.
Zac StacyRBSTL491%.
Reggie WayneWRIND1092%.
Larry FitzgeraldWRARI497%.
Green Bay DefenseDEFGB991%.
Steven JacksonRBATL999%.
Maurice Jones-DrewRBOAK599%.
DeSean JacksonWRWAS1096%.
Greg OlsenTECAR1298%.
Golden TateWRDET998%.
Eric DeckerWRNYJ1197%.
Stevan RidleyRBNE1090%.
Seattle DefenseDEFSEA496%.
Knowshon MorenoRBMIA5100%.
Percy HarvinWRSEA489%.
Julian EdelmanWRNE1096%.
Michael FloydWRARI499%.
Matthew StaffordQBDET995%.
Billy CundiffPKCLE4100%.
Antonio GatesTESD1097%.
Wes WelkerWRDEN497%.
Ryan MathewsRBSD1093%.
Lamar MillerRBMIA598%.
New England DefenseDEFNE1096%.
Justin TuckerPKBAL1199%.
Cam NewtonQBCAR1299%.
Darren SprolesRBPHI797%.
Justin ForsettRBBAL1195%.
Johnny ManzielQBCLE495%.
Trent RichardsonRBIND1097%.
Delanie WalkerTETEN996%.
C.J. SpillerRBBUF998%.
Martellus BennettTECHI999%.
San Francisco DefenseDEFSF8100%.
Marques ColstonWRNO6100%.
Darren McFaddenRBOAK599%.
Markus WheatonWRPIT1299%.
Anquan BoldinWRSF8100%.
Carolina DefenseDEFCAR1295%.
Owen DanielsTEBAL1199%.
DeAndre HopkinsWRHOU10100%.
Jordan ReedTEWAS10100%.
Kevin BossTEKC6100%.
Mark IngramRBNO697%.
Minnesota DefenseDEFMIN1093%.
Jason WittenTEDAL1198%.
Ronnie HillmanRBDEN495%.
Chris IvoryRBNYJ1198%.
Joe FlaccoQBBAL11100%.
Houston DefenseDEFHOU1098%.
Terrance WestRBCLE4100%.
Malcom FloydWRSD10100%.
Greg JenningsWRMIN1098%.
Stephen GostkowskiPKNE10100%.
Joel DreessenTEDEN4100%.
Shane VereenRBNE10100%.
Justin HunterWRTEN9100%.
Chris JohnsonRBNYJ11100%.
Devin HesterWRATL9100%.
Blair WalshPKMIN1095%.
Tennessee DefenseDEFTEN9100%.
Jerick McKinnonRBMIN10100%.
Indianapolis DefenseDEFIND10100%.
Robbie GouldPKCHI9100%.
Dwayne BoweWRKC6100%.
Matt BryantPKATL994%.
Miles AustinWRCLE499%.
Carson PalmerQBARI4100%.
Branden OliverRBSD10100%.
Marcedes LewisTEJAC1199%.
Chicago DefenseDEFCHI997%.
Ryan FitzpatrickQBHOU10100%.
Eddie RoyalWRSD10100%.
Arizona DefenseDEFARI4100%.
Cincinnati DefenseDEFCIN499%.
Josh GordonWRCLE4100%.
Shonn GreeneRBTEN999%.
Dallas DefenseDEFDAL11100%.
Buffalo DefenseDEFBUF9100%.
Mason CrosbyPKGB9100%.
Terrance CopperWRKC6100%.
Ted Ginn JrWRARI499%.
Sidney RiceWRSEA499%.
Scott ChandlerTEBUF9100%.
Mohamed SanuWRCIN4100%.
James JonesWROAK5100%.
Zach ErtzTEPHI7100%.
Steven HauschkaPKSEA4100%.
Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT12100%.
Odell Beckham JrWRNYG8100%.
Mike NugentPKCIN4100%.
DeAngelo WilliamsRBCAR12100%.
Nick NovakPKSD1099%.
Knile DavisRBKC6100%.
Sebastian JanikowskiPKOAK595%.
Brian QuickWRSTL4100%.
Doug BaldwinWRSEA4100%.
St. Louis DefenseDEFSTL497%.
Kansas City DefenseDEFKC6100%.
Eli ManningQBNYG8100%.
Dan BaileyPKDAL11100%.
Brent CelekTEPHI7100%.
Keenan AllenWRSD10100%.
Detroit DefenseDEFDET9100%.
Eric EbronTEDET9100%.
Matt PraterPKDEN4100%.
Heath MillerTEPIT12100%.
Phil DawsonPKSF8100%.
Denver DefenseDEFDEN4100%.
Kenny BrittWRSTL4100%.
Torrey SmithWRBAL11100%.
Leon WashingtonRBTEN9100%.
Adam VinatieriPKIND10100%.
Zach MillerTECHI9100%.
Khiry RobinsonRBNO6100%.
Travis KelceTEKC6100%.
San Diego DefenseDEFSD10100%.
Josh BrownPKNYG8100%.
Jonathan StewartRBCAR12100%.
Brandon LloydWRSF8100%.
Nick FolkPKNYJ11100%.