Pro Football Prospectus is here!

Kevin Day, July 17th, 2008

I received my copy of Pro Football Prospectus 2008 this week, and I’m excited.  I’ve read it for the past three years and it’s packed with lots of great analysis.  Being a numbers guy, this book hits the sweet spot for me.

If you’re not familiar with it, half the book is analysis and projections for NFL teams, and then the other half is projections for individual players.  They also compile projected fantasy points for each player and rank them by VBD at the end of the book.

The player projections are good because in general they are modest for almost everyone.  It helps me keep a level head when I’m really positive about a player and might draft him too early.  Their trends usually show players that have great years regress to the mean the next.

One player that they project to do well is Aaron Rodgers (if he gets a chance to play that is).  However,  I still remember a few years ago when they projected Kevin Jones and Julius Jones to be #1 and #2 in rushing yards.   Whoops!  I’ll let that one slide even though I took Kevin Jones in most of my leagues that year because of their advice.

Despite the occasional bad projection, it’s still a good book for fantasy football fans and especially those who like to analyze statistics.  I’ll try to write more about the book once I’ve finished it.  At over 500 pages, I know there’s plenty of material to cover.

6 Comments

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6 Responses to “Pro Football Prospectus is here!”


Thanks for the tip on the mag. I’ll definitely seek it out.

Julius Jones and Kevin Jones 1 and 2? That does hurt, but I like the fact they stuck their next out there. Most mags and sites play it too safe and all the rankings are more or less the same.

theendzoneview on

that should be “stuck their NECK out there”

theendzoneview on

when I sign up for a mock draft and leave the site for a few minutes , when I return how do I get back to the draft I signed up for?

Bill on

Bill: Typically all you have to do is revisit the draft log-in page and there will be a link at the top for you. Unfortunately that function is temporarily disabled right now. It should be working again soon. Sorry it caused you to miss your draft.

Kevin Day on

I’ll tell you what, I have this and it is some die hard stats!!! If I read this thing and don’t win my league, I am done doing research and will just pick on gut and not stats!!! This thing is amazing with all that it has in it. DVOA? Wow that was a hard one to grasp, and the DYAR was and is even harder? Coefficient? What the hell is that? The book does have really good articles and essays on things. it is making me think twice on Turner now! We will see. Thanks. later.

Stephan on

[...] mentioned last week that I’m a fan of Pro Football Prospectus, and this year’s edition is [...]

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