Draft Analysis: Wide Receiver Strategies

Kevin Day, June 13th, 2009

Based on a suggestion by Lucas in a previous blog post, I am going to highlight a recent mock draft, give my thoughts, and see what you guys think.  Here’s my first attempt.

This 12-team draft (Draft 474683) a few days ago caught my attention because of the variety of WR strategies.

For example, these three teams at the end of the draft varied widely.

Team 10 staggered 3 WR picks over 8 rounds, Team 11 took 3 WRs right away, and Team 12 took 3 wide receivers in a row in rounds 4, 5, and 6.

I think I prefer Team 10’s more balanced approach the best, but the other two teams aren’t too shabby either.  If Team 11 gets lucky with some RBs, he could be pretty dangerous with those awesome WRs.  Team 12 has a legitimate #1 RB along with the best fantasy QB this year, so they have a solid team as well.

What do you think?  If you have a late draft spot, what is your WR strategy?

7 Comments

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7 Responses to “Draft Analysis: Wide Receiver Strategies”


I have personally tried all 3 of these draft strategies and find that team 11’s draft strategy leaves me with the best team. Last year I used my first 3 rounds for Wideouts Fitz, Marshall, Jennings”whom is still underated” and was able to pick up M Moore, L McClain, and P Thomas down the stretch through the waiver wire as the season took its toll. Also note that I was able to grab T Jones in the 4th and Matt Forte in the 5th “had no clue he would be so good” and later picked up J Cutler in the 8th. I had more trouble trying to figure out who would get more points for the week than anything else. I will say that I missed Chris Johnson in the 6th by taking Selvin Young but my point is look at the team that I drafted. I would rather take 3 sure wideouts that I know are worth starting every week instead of taking an iffy RB because I need to fill the roster spot. Almost all my starters where top 5 to top 10 players at their respected positions. I still wonder if I would have won the league championship if I had drafted Chris Johnson.

Adam Burnette on

Adam, interesting point. That kind of strategy sounds like it can pay off well if you’re able to draft solid RBs like that later in the draft. Do you think there will be RBs like that this year? If you go WR/WR/WR this year, what RBs would you target in the later rounds?

Kevin Day on

[...] year’s wide receiver class is pretty top-heavy and fantasy owners are varying wildly in wide receiver drafting strategies already. [Fantasy Football [...]

The Hazean - Daily Haze: Lakers win on

I have retained Fitz, Jennings, and Bowe this year. It was hard to let Marshall go but I found that he was inconsistent last year even with Cutler at the helm. With that said I drew the 5th pick in this years redraft and could possible get a Moreno, McFadden, Grant, L Johnson,K Smith or P Thomas. I understand that these backs aren’t the cream of the crop but note that I could possibly have 3 #1 wideouts. In most mock drafts I have been able to get Moreno or P Thomas in the 4th and then come back through with a L White and L Johnson. Also note I look at teams in front of me to see what position they might be taking before it snakes back around to possibly get better value. Some times I have taken a QB in the 5th but of course every draft is different. Whatever the case after the first 3 rounds I usually draft RB heavy the rest of the draft and pick of a sleeper around round 10. With this strategy you dont draft those top guys to ride the bench!!! Most time my rb core looks something like P Thomas, L White, F Jones, J Jones, Ray Rice, and Mendenhall plus or minus a 1 or 2 guys. I have included a link to one of my mocks. I think its a great team with sleeper value at Rb. Let me know what you think.

Gunz

http://www.fantasyfootballcalculator.com/draft/477363

Adam Burnette on

Simply put my strategy plus the increase in both RB committees and The Pass Game it seems much harder to hit on a solid RB than a Solid WR. It seems easier to draft a RB in the 4th and 5th round that performs very close to backs taken in rounds 2 and 3 than it is to do the reverse. Let me know what you guys and girls think

Adam Burnette on

I see the logic in both team #10 & #12 strategies. Team #11, in my opinion, is WR overkill. My strategy for years has been to go RB on my 1st and (usually) 2nd pick, no matter what draft position I’m in. Sometimes, depending on what’s available, RB on 1st, 2nd AND 3rd picks. That strategy has worked very well over the years.
Bottom line, it’s almost always dependent on what’s available when it’s my pick.

WaltinTexas on

Usually I liked being at the back of the draft, getting those two picks close together. This year I ended up with #3 in a league and with all the mocks I did I was happy with how that panned out.

There seems to be such a drop off at RB toward the back end and the sure thing WR’s are going so fast in the first few rounds that I don’t mind the three WR strategy that #11 took. Once one of the RB hungry teams figure out that they are weak at WR may be able to swing a deal too.

Lee on
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