• FanDuel Value Plays, Picks, and Sleepers for Week 15

    By Patrick Whelan, December 13, 2017
    Jonathan Stewart Carolina Panthers

    Case Keenum vs. Cincinati Bengals: $7,400

    Since week 7, Case Keenum has been one of the best quarterbacks to own in FanDuel, never posting a total below 17 points and exceeding 26 twice. He's passed for 280 yards or more in 5 of the past 6 weeks and run for 20 or more yards in 3 of the last 4.  I'm unable to wrap my head around the fact that he is an above average NFL starter, and considering Fan Duel's valuation, they are having the same issue. Last week wasn't Keenum's best as he turned the ball over three times to an aggressive Panthers defense, but he still put up 21 fantasy points. And just like last week, Week 14 doesn't present Case with the best matchup as the Vikings welcome a decent pass defense in the Bengals. But they've had so many secondary injuries that they've considered putting John Ross at CB, and when you lose 33-7 to the Bears at home, I can confidently say that you've packed it in for the season. So while Case Keenum isn't going to win you your week, he does present a high floor for a cash game.

    Lamar Miller at Jacksonville Jaguars; $6,200

    It's slim picking for value at running back position for the Sunday millions slate, therefore I've crossed the $6,000 valuation line to suggest a relatively cheap Lamar Miller. Miller's fantasy production has been trending downward since week 11 and he hasn't topped 75 yards rushing this season. Add in the Texan's offensive woes, and Miller is now the cheapest he's been all year. But he's still one of the highest floor options on the market due to the volume he commands; he's eighth in touches for the position. The only way to attack the Jags defense, especially if TJ Yates is playing, is to run the ball, so Miller will be looking at a high number of carries. If the Texans can sniff the end zone Miller should be looking at productive enough day making him a high floor cash game pick.

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    Jonathan Stewart vs. Green Bay Packers; $5,800

    Jonathan Stewart just keeps plugging away for the Carolina Panthers, and last week he finally hit it big with three touchdowns and a 100 yard game. But even before that, he had put up 8.6 points or over in 5 of his last 6 games. And despite modest gains, the Panthers clearly believe in him, sending 11 carries or more his way in every game but one this year. So in a game against a mediocre run defense (and bad defense in general,) you could do a lot worse than Jonathan Stewart and his guaranteed opportunities.

    Jordy Nelson at Carolina Panthers: $7,200

    This is another option that isn’t in the range that I usually target for "value plays," but if Aaron Rodgers starts, something that looks likely, this is the steal of the week. Nelson has been invisible with Brett Hundley under center. Hundley lacks the skills for back shoulder throws and the familiarity with Nelson to be on the same page for option routes. But with Rodgers back, Nelson immediately returns to the top 4 wide receiver that he was at the beginning of this year and all of last year. Getting that premium value for $1,000 less than the other top options is a must.

    Dede Westbrook vs. Houston Texans: $5,700

    It doesn't appear that FanDuel is a believer in Dede Westbrook, but Blake Bortles sure is. Since he's entered the lineup, he's seen an average of 8 targets per game and has topped 77 yards the past two weeks. The more time that Bortles and Westbrook have to work together, the better the results, and this week they are matched up against the seventh worst pass defense in the league. If Westbrook is making Seattle's secondary look bad, you can bet he's going to have a field day with the Texans. He's a great play for cash games with the upside to be a solid tournament selection as well.

    Ricky Seals-Jones at Washington Redskins: $5,300

    Cheap options at tight end are also few and far between, but Seals-Jones provides some of the most upside of any player at the position this week. That's because he's playing Washington, who have been the worst team in the league at defending tight ends. Seals-Jones has cooled off considerably from his Week 11 and 12 start, but is still seeing plenty of playing time. Considering tight ends have scored 8 touchdowns against the Redskins, assume that Arizona will feature Seals-Jones in their game plan and hope for him the re-enter the end zone.

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    Filed under: Daily Fantasy (DFS)

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