Last week’s stars and studs approach proved profitable with LeSean McCoy, Josh Gordon, and Giovani Bernard all hitting value. This week’s pricing features much less value, but more studs on the board. This gives players a multitude of pivot points, but also constricts the overall salary. With this in mind, this week’s DraftKings Value Plays will look at some salary saving options and some studs to pair them with.
DeShone Kizer predictably carved up the Green Bay defense last week for 19.26 points and should be in play again this week. Kizer appears to have a tough matchup against Baltimore, but the Ravens have allowed the 4th most passing yards over the last four weeks. The Ravens also recently lost their star corner Jimmy Smith, putting Kizer in play as a cheap option in cash and GPPs.
Since the Steelers’ Week 9 bye, Le’Veon Bell has averaged 9.4 targets and 25.8 touches per game. New England has a middling run defense, allowing both the 11th most rushing and receiving yards to running backs. However, New England just allowed Kenyan Drake 193 total yards last week. Bell remains matchup proof, with over 29 points in each of his last three games and needs to be locked into cash lineups.
The aforementioned Drake had the best game of his career against the Patriots last week. In his last two weeks he has dominated snaps (83% and 94%) and touches (26 and 30). This week Drake gets a Buffalo defense allowing the most fantasy points and rushing yards per game to running back on the season. Still too cheap, Drake is cash game viable.
Michael Thomas currently ranks 5th in the NFL with 9.6 targets per game. This week he gets a Jets defense ranking 27th in Football Outsiders’ Pass Defense DVOA. The Jets have also allowed the 9th most points to receivers over their last four games. In a solid matchup and seeing heavy volume, Thomas warrants cash game consideration and GPP exposure.
Dede Westbrook again finds a solid matchup this week against the Houston Texans. Houston’s defense has allowed the 7th most yards to receivers on the season. Westbrook has target counts of 10, 9, and 8 and played over 76% in each of his last three games. Now a full time player, Westbrook looks to be a solid GPP play.
Since Jimmy Garoppolo took over in Week 13, Marquise Goodwin has seen target counts of 8 and 12 and finished with 99 and 106 yards receiving. Tennessee currently has the 23rd ranked Pass Defense according to Football Outsider’s DVOA. Goodwin a nice pivot in GPPs and sees enough volume for cash consideration.
Due partially to the Carson Wentz injury, Zach Ertz is the cheapest he has been since Week 2. However, Ertz’s to date productivity cannot be ignored, averaging 7 targets per game. Ertz also ranks 4th in receiving yards despite missing two full games. The Giants present a favorable matchup, allowing the most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season. Ertz should go low owned without Wentz, making him a solid GPP pivot away from the other expensive tight ends.
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Filed under: Daily Fantasy (DFS)