Blake Bortles didn't have a great game from a pure football perspective in week 16, but his 25.4 FanDuel points were just what fantasy owners were looking for. In a game where the Jags were playing from behind, Bortles threw the ball 50 times for almost 400 yards, although his three interceptions put a dent in his two touchdowns. It's unlikely that Bortles will see that type of volume, but the Titans are significantly more susceptible to the pass than the run, meaning the offense will have to rely on Blake again. I still feel odd suggesting him, but Bortles has put up 25 points in three of his last four contests. Ride the hot hand.
With the Browns behind by double digits for almost the whole contest, Isaiah Crowell gave way to the passing back Duke Johnson Jr, and only saw 12 carries. However, with the Steelers likely resting their starters for the second half, and the Browns up against oblivion, expect this to be a competitive contest that features a lot of Crowell. The Steelers are a middling run defense, and their backups could prove especially susceptible. Hope for a Patriots blow out and the Browns to save their season.
This is strictly a tournament, what the heck play, but Alfred Blue out touched Lamar Miller by 6 carries last week and was the far more impressive runner. That makes two straight weeks where Blue has looked better than Miller, and Miller has been a subpar back for most of the season. In fact, with his 108 yards last week, Blue was the first Texans to gain over 76 rushing yards. With Houston completely out of it and trotting out TJ Yates, it's very likely that they could let the young guy get most of the run in a meaningless game. Considering they are playing the embarrassment that is the Indianapolis Colts, Blue could go of for a huge day at a fraction of the price.
If only DeVante Parker could find the end zone. He only has one touchdown on the year despite a healthy amount of red zone targets. Parker remains Jay Culter's favorite target, and has 22 targets over the past two weeks. Buffalo's defense is below average, and in Cutler's final hurrah in the Dolphins uniform, you can bet there will be plenty of chucking going on. Expect a floor of 10 fantasy points here with upside if Parker could finally make it count.
Another risky play only suited for tournaments, Ted Ginn Jr. has been the prototypical boom/bust wide receiver play this year. It seems he's either putting up 15 points or below 5, which means he should be nowhere near your cash game. But this week offers a great chance at a boom contest, considering Ginn already posted a plus total against this Tampa defense, and the Saints are heavily favored in a must win game. If you are looking for a shot in the dark on the cheap, give Ginn Jr. a try.
I was actually in the stadium when all of Detroit stood up and booed Eric Ebron. He's a high draft pick that has never reached his potential and has a knack for dropping the football. But with defenses having to key on Golden Tate and Marvin Jones, Ebron has finally taken advantage and posted three straight fantasy totals of 11.8 points or higher. In a matchup against a Packers team giving up the 10th most passing yards, expect another good day from Ebron.
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Filed under: Daily Fantasy (DFS)
January 18, 2018
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