Scenario Calculator

Calculate the probability that a player will fall to you at a specific spot in the draft.

Calculations based off of today's ADP data from fantasy football mock drafts.

Name Pos Team Bye %
Christian McCaffrey RB SF 9 0.0% .
Tyreek Hill WR MIA 6 0.0% .
Breece Hall RB NYJ 12 0.0% .
Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 12 0.0% .
CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 7 0.0% .
Bijan Robinson RB ATL 12 0.0% .
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 5 0.0% .
Justin Jefferson WR MIN 6 0.0% .
Saquon Barkley RB PHI 5 0.0% .
A.J. Brown WR PHI 5 0.0% .
Jonathan Taylor RB IND 14 0.0% .
Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 5 0.0% .
Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 12 0.0% .
Puka Nacua WR LAR 6 0.0% .
Kyren Williams RB LAR 6 0.0% .
Josh Jacobs RB GB 10 0.0% .
Travis Etienne RB JAX 12 0.0% .
Derrick Henry RB BAL 14 0.0% .
Deebo Samuel WR SF 9 0.0% .
Isiah Pacheco RB KC 6 0.0% .
Cooper Kupp WR LAR 6 0.1% .
Patrick Mahomes QB KC 6 11.6% .
Drake London WR ATL 12 0.1% .
Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 9 0.0% .
Rachaad White RB TB 11 0.1% .
Jalen Hurts QB PHI 5 4.5% .
Devon Achane RB MIA 6 4.0% .
Jaylen Waddle WR MIA 6 3.0% .
Chris Olave WR NO 12 4.5% .
Nico Collins WR HOU 14 17.0% .
James Cook RB BUF 12 20.8% .
Mike Evans WR TB 11 28.4% .
Travis Kelce TE KC 6 31.1% .
D.J. Moore WR CHI 7 62.2% .
Sam LaPorta TE DET 5 64.5% .
C.J. Stroud QB HOU 14 68.2% .
DeVonta Smith WR PHI 5 87.4% .
Davante Adams WR LV 10 79.3% .
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 11 75.7% .
D.K. Metcalf WR SEA 10 87.8% .
Joe Mixon RB HOU 14 83.6% .
Lamar Jackson QB BAL 14 88.0% .
David Montgomery RB DET 5 94.6% .
Stefon Diggs WR HOU 14 99.5% .
Kenneth Walker III RB SEA 10 97.4% .
Tank Dell WR HOU 14 100.0% .
Aaron Jones RB MIN 6 99.9% .
Christian Kirk WR JAX 12 99.9% .
Joe Burrow QB CIN 12 100.0% .
Zay Flowers WR BAL 14 100.0% .
Michael Pittman Jr. WR IND 14 100.0% .
James Conner RB ARI 11 100.0% .
George Pickens WR PIT 9 100.0% .
Najee Harris RB PIT 9 99.8% .
Dak Prescott QB DAL 7 100.0% .
Alvin Kamara RB NO 12 100.0% .
Keenan Allen WR CHI 7 100.0% .
Mark Andrews TE BAL 14 99.6% .
Jayden Reed WR GB 10 100.0% .
Malik Nabers WR NYG 11 100.0% .
D'Andre Swift RB CHI 7 100.0% .
Chris Godwin WR TB 11 100.0% .
Nick Chubb RB CLE 10 100.0% .
Rashee Rice WR KC 6 100.0% .
George Kittle TE SF 9 100.0% .
Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 14 100.0% .
Zamir White RB LV 10 100.0% .
Brock Purdy QB SF 9 99.9% .
Calvin Ridley WR TEN 5 100.0% .
Anthony Richardson QB IND 14 99.9% .
Terry McLaurin WR WAS 14 100.0% .
Zack Moss RB CIN 12 100.0% .
Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 12 100.0% .
Raheem Mostert RB MIA 6 100.0% .
Jared Goff QB DET 5 100.0% .
Xavier Worthy WR KC 6 100.0% .
Tony Pollard RB TEN 5 100.0% .
Trey McBride TE ARI 11 100.0% .
Jordan Love QB GB 10 100.0% .
Gus Edwards RB LAC 5 100.0% .
Marquise Brown WR KC 6 100.0% .
Jaylen Warren RB PIT 9 100.0% .
Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 11 100.0% .
Kyle Pitts TE ATL 12 100.0% .
Christian Watson WR GB 10 100.0% .
DeAndre Hopkins WR TEN 5 100.0% .
Ladd McConkey WR LAC 5 100.0% .
Tyjae Spears RB TEN 5 100.0% .
Austin Ekeler RB WAS 14 100.0% .
Chase Brown RB CIN 12 100.0% .
Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA 6 100.0% .
Brian Robinson Jr. RB WAS 14 100.0% .
Romeo Doubs WR GB 10 100.0% .
Jake Ferguson TE DAL 7 100.0% .
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 10 100.0% .
Matthew Stafford QB LAR 6 100.0% .
Josh Allen QB BUF 12 87.1% .
Tyler Lockett WR SEA 10 100.0% .
Evan Engram TE JAX 12 100.0% .
Mike Williams WR NYJ 12 100.0% .
Jameson Williams WR DET 5 100.0% .
Keon Coleman WR BUF 12 100.0% .
Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 10 100.0% .
Jerome Ford RB CLE 10 100.0% .
David Njoku TE CLE 10 100.0% .
Kyler Murray QB ARI 11 100.0% .
Justin Herbert QB LAC 5 100.0% .
Courtland Sutton WR DEN 14 100.0% .
Devin Singletary RB NYG 11 99.1% .
Khalil Shakir WR BUF 12 100.0% .
Amari Cooper WR CLE 10 98.7% .
Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 11 100.0% .
Trey Benson RB ARI 11 100.0% .
Curtis Samuel WR BUF 12 100.0% .
Rome Odunze WR CHI 7 97.6% .
Diontae Johnson WR CAR 11 100.0% .
Brandin Cooks WR DAL 7 100.0% .
T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 6 100.0% .
Blake Corum RB LAR 6 100.0% .
Brock Bowers TE LV 10 100.0% .
Caleb Williams QB CHI 7 100.0% .
Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAX 12 99.7% .
Javonte Williams RB DEN 14 100.0% .
Josh Palmer WR LAC 5 100.0% .
Tyler Allgeier RB ATL 12 100.0% .
Dallas Goedert TE PHI 5 100.0% .
Trevor Lawrence QB JAX 12 100.0% .
Aaron Rodgers QB NYJ 12 100.0% .
Rashid Shaheed WR NO 12 100.0% .
Tee Higgins WR CIN 12 98.4% .
Justin Tucker PK BAL 14 100.0% .
Harrison Butker PK KC 6 100.0% .
Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL 7 99.7% .
Jaleel McLaughlin RB DEN 14 100.0% .
Baltimore Defense DEF BAL 14 100.0% .
Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 9 100.0% .
Jayden Daniels QB WAS 14 100.0% .
Kimani Vidal RB LAC 5 100.0% .
Kirk Cousins QB ATL 12 100.0% .
Elijah Mitchell RB SF 9 100.0% .
Rico Dowdle RB DAL 7 100.0% .
Brandon Aubrey PK DAL 7 100.0% .
San Francisco Defense DEF SF 9 100.0% .
Cole Kmet TE CHI 7 100.0% .
Taysom Hill TE NO 12 100.0% .
J.K. Dobbins RB LAC 5 100.0% .
Dalton Schultz TE HOU 14 100.0% .
Adam Thielen WR CAR 11 100.0% .
Baker Mayfield QB TB 11 100.0% .
Younghoe Koo PK ATL 12 100.0% .