Bye-weeks are still in full swing and Ben Roethlisberger is one of the top streams this week against a terrible Colts defense. While Roethlisberger has not been great this year (24th-ranked QB), he should be trusted this week as he’s playing a defense that is giving up the 10th most fantasy points to quarterbacks, an average of 18.20 points. How Big Ben accumulates those points may not be pretty as he may have to rely on long touchdown receptions, however, the end result will be there for your team at the end of this game.
This week Matt Forte’s knee swelled up and he’s not a sure bet to play this week. If he were to miss this week, cue up Bilal Powell who will find himself with a superb matchup against the Buccaneers. Last week the Bucs let up the most fantasy points to running backs (40.50), most of which came through a few screen passes to Saints’ Alvin Kamara and are allowing an average of 26.20 fantasy points on average to the position. If Forte does play Powell’s upside will be extremely limited, however, if Powell sees full-time work he has the chance to finish the week as a top 15 running back.
With Mike Evans sidelined this week to serve his suspension, DeSean Jackson has an opportunity to shine, even with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting at quarterback. D-Jax faces the Jets defense who have given up 540 yards and 6 touchdowns to wide receivers over their past three contests. On top of that, the Jets defense is giving up the 9th-most fantasy points to wide receivers (34.7) this season. Look for Jackson to be targeted frequently and have the chance to post top-15 numbers this week.
The Giants defense has allowed touchdowns to the tight end position in every single game this year, including the Rams’ Tyler Higbee just last week. Until the Giants can show they can stop the position, the tight end facing them will be the start of the week. This week Garrett Celek has the opportunity to approach double-digit fantasy points and is an option to stream this week with George Kittle ruled out for Week 10.
Chris Boswell and the Steelers play the Colts this week who are giving up the 4th-most fantasy points to kickers with an average of 9.90. Pittsburgh will be able to move the ball against a weak Colts defense and should have an ample amount of opportunity for quite a few field goal attempts.
The Detroit Lions Defense started the year strong on defense, however, this has changed in recent weeks, having only scored 9.00 points combined in their last 2 games. The Lions should bounce back this week at home where they face the Browns that have given up double-digit fantasy points in each of their last 3 games and have given up the 2nd-most points to opposing defenses with an average of 12.50 per week.
Until proven otherwise, we will sit the quarterback playing against the Jaguars defense. Sit Philip Rivers this week and don’t look back. Including last week’s matchup against Andy Dalton (albeit without A.J. Green for most of it due to his ejection), the Jaguars defense has allowed an average of only 6.10 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, which ranks 1st in the league.
Rob Kelley has a tough matchup this week against the Minnesota Vikings who have a very stout defense. The Vikings defense is currently allowing the second-least amount of fantasy points to opposing running backs (17.90) and has only allowed 2 rushing touchdowns to the position all year. Pair this with the fact that Fat Rob is averaging only 17.67 rushing yards over his past three games and warning bells go off everywhere. Like last week, owner's will merely be praying for a short touchdown run in order to reap any value of starting Kelley.
Keenan Allen has provided good consistent numbers so far this season and is currently ranked as the 24th wide receiver. The major downside to Allen’s week-to-week stat lines is his inability to score touchdowns - he has only scored 1 so far through his 8 games played, and that was in Week 1. This week Allen will be double-teamed and covered by a combination of Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye when in single-coverage. The Jaguars defense is the best in the league when guarding the wide receiver position, allowing a league-low of 21.20 fantasy points per week. Don’t bank on Allen scoring a lot of fantasy points this week unless he is able to find himself in the slot with near double-digit receptions that consist of short 5-yard routes.
Jason Witten has been very hit-and-miss this season; this week’s matchup against the Falcons doesn’t look promising. Witten has only 4 receptions for 36 yards and 0 touchdowns over his last two matchups and the Falcons defense is allowing the 4th-least amount of fantasy points to tight ends going into Week 10 with an average of 9.70. While Witten’s role and usage may come down to game script, he will have his work cut out for him on Sunday and will need a big bounce-back game to (re)gain the trust of fantasy owners.
With the loss of Deshaun Watson, the Texans offense has been unable to consistently drive down the field to set up scoring chances for their kicker Ka'imi Fairbairn. This was more evident than ever as last week Fairbairn was held to 1.00 fantasy point against a not-so-good Colts defense. This week the Texans square off against the Rams who are averaging a league-high 32.9 points per game and if they want to keep up, they’ll need 7’s instead of 3’s, especially if they find themselves down early in this one.
For the 4th consecutive week, the Denver Broncos Defense finds itself recommended as a ‘sit’. Last week against the Eagles the defense scored 2.00 fantasy points and are currently ranked the 15th ranked defense. The Broncos play an equally as impressive Patriots offense who will have little trouble putting up points on this defense. To reiterate what is said week after week: the Broncos are purely name value and have not shown they are anything like their dominant past.
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Filed under: Fantasy Football Start 'Em Sit 'Em
November 18, 2017
November 17, 2017