Baker Mayfield: Fantasy Football Outlook 2025

Baker Mayfield E31722D5
Source: © Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Baker Mayfield enters the 2025 fantasy football season riding a tidal wave of momentum and high expectations. Quarterbacking for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Mayfield has blossomed into one of the league's most reliable fantasy arms, coming off a career-best season that saw him shatter previous personal records. Finishing 2024 with a stunning 4,500 passing yards and 41 touchdowns, Mayfield catapulted himself squarely into the upper echelon of fantasy producers, ranking among the top QBs in nearly every statistical category.

The secret to Mayfield’s breakout? Precision and opportunity. Completing 71.4% of his passes in 2024, he combined efficiency with volume, solidifying his place as the Bucs' franchise quarterback. The team's four consecutive NFC South titles underscore both his consistency and his ability to win. But what truly stands out is the context: Mayfield's gaudy numbers came despite suffering from a league-leading 25 dropped passes by his receiving corps, according to Next Gen Stats. With just a little more help from his weapons, it’s not hard to imagine those numbers climbing even higher.

Fantasy managers have absolutely taken notice. Mayfield’s current overall ranking is 53, with an average draft position (ADP) of 47.3 in redraft leagues for 2025. According to fantasy football rankings at Fantasy Football Calculator, he’s become a high-upside target for teams willing to wait on quarterback but still shoot for top-tier production.

Still, there’s room for improvement—namely, turnovers. Mayfield led the league with 16 interceptions last season. If he reins in the risky throws, he could provide even more reliable weekly production. Multiple analysts, including those at CBS Sports and ESPN, point to this as the next step in his evolution from solid starter to fantasy stud. There’s optimism that a cleaner stat sheet (with fewer picks and drops) will lead to even more explosive box scores in 2025.

Managers prepping for drafts should prioritize Mayfield in the middle rounds. He’s been a favorite in countless fantasy football mock drafts, often outpacing his ADP thanks to managers hunting last season’s breakout gems. If Tampa Bay’s offense delivers on its promise and Mayfield protects the football, expect another season of top-10 QB production—possibly with league-winning upside.


Filed under: Free Articles