Tyreek Hill enters the 2025 NFL season looking to rebound after a disappointing 2024 campaign. The Miami Dolphins wide receiver, once considered among the elite fantasy options at his position, experienced a significant statistical regression last season that has impacted his fantasy draft value.
Hill's 2024 performance marked a substantial decline from his outstanding 2023 season where he amassed 1,799 yards and 13 touchdowns. During that 2023 season, Hill finished second in fantasy points per game and was consequently an early first-round selection in 2024 drafts. However, despite playing every game in 2024, his production nearly halved compared to previous seasons.
A major factor in Hill's statistical downturn was quarterback Tua Tagovailoa's six-game absence due to injury. Even with Tagovailoa under center for 11 games, Hill averaged just 63.1 yards per game with six touchdowns. When projected across a full 17-game season with his starting quarterback, estimates showed Hill would have finished with approximately 87 catches, 1,073 receiving yards, and nine touchdowns – totaling around 250 fantasy points. While respectable, this represents a 126-point decrease from his 2023 performance.
Through the first 10 games of the current season, Hill has averaged 7.9 catches for 122.2 yards per game with nine touchdowns, suggesting a potential return to form. The Dolphins' passing attack remains largely unchanged from last season, with Nick Westbook-Ikhine being the only notable addition.
When looking at current wide receiver rankings, Hill's position reflects the market's uncertainty about whether he'll return to his elite 2023 form or continue the regression seen in 2024. Fantasy managers participating in fantasy football mock drafts should carefully consider Hill's boom-or-bust potential.
For those drafting in 2025, Hill represents an intriguing option with tremendous upside if he can recapture his previous form, but also carries risk based on last season's performance and his advancing age in the league. Managers would be wise to monitor his early-season performance and Tagovailoa's health before making definitive judgments on his fantasy value for the remainder of the 2025 season.
Filed under: Free Articles
