The Running Back position is the most prized year after year. Almost half of the picks in the first four rounds are Running Back, and once you get past the fourth round you really aren’t thrilled with the guys remaining. This makes it extremely important to grab the right guys early in the draft. But how will you know who will bust and who will perform better than their ADP? Obviously, injuries can’t be predicted (although we may know some injury histories), but there are other factors that can help determine who has the best chance to underperform. Let’s take a look at some of the backs who are going early in drafts and might not live up to their ADP this season. ADP comes from our 12-team PPR drafts.