Let's take a look at the top four tight ends. In mock drafts so far, Antonio Gates is #1 at 5.03 (10-team), Witten at 5.04, Winslow at 6.02, and Gonzalez at 7.01. The ADP graph for these four players shows there hasn't been much movement, except for Witten who could actually overtake Gates as the #1 TE.
Although there's a 2-round gap separating these players, their stats from last year were all pretty similar (stats via pro-football-reference):
Gates: 984 yds, 9 TDs: 152 Fantasy Points
Witten: 1145 yds, 7 TDs: 156 FP
Winslow: 1106 yds, 5 TDs: 157 FP
Gonzalez: 1172 yds, 5 TDs: 147 FP
Since only 10 fantasy points separated them last year, there must be either high expectations for Gates and Witten, or predicted declines for Winslow and Gonzalez.
On an administrative side note, the ADP graphs no longer have a weird spike for some players. The graphs are a lot easier to read now.
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